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Iran final nuclear deal ’far from done’

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Iran final nuclear deal ’far from done’

The framework nuclear agreement between Iran and the West was very light on detail on when exactly all this will happen once the final comprehensive deal is agreed on June 30.
Iranians want to see sanctions lifted quickly to boost the economy and attract foreign investment.
Equally impatient are Iranian hardliners who want to see the fruits of President Hassan Rouhani’s attempts at rapprochement with the West since his election in 2013.
But the sanctions will not all be lifted in one fell swoop on July 1.
Instead they will be tied to Iran first carrying out what it has undertaken to do, something to be verified by the UN atomic watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency.
In addition, there will be the possibility for a “snap” back of the sanctions if Iran violates the deal.
“We have been very clear, both publicly and privately, a final agreement will not rely on promises. It will rely on proof,” US Secretary of State John Kerry said in Lausanne on Thursday.
The task of the next three months therefore will be to hammer out in minute detail a timetable for which sanctions are eased when, and what Iranian actions they will be dependent upon.
One potential snag is that in addition to slashing its capacities, Iran will also have to clear up allegations that before 2003, and possibly since, it did research into making a nuclear weapon.
A long-running probe by the IAEA into this infamous “possible military dimensions” (PMD) file is stalled, with Iran rejecting it as false information provided to a gullible and partial IAEA by its enemies.
Other potential problem areas are the language that goes into a mooted new UN Security Council resolution to replace the six others that will be lifted, and the mechanism for determining violations.
“The agreement also does not spell out the specific timeline for Iran’s compliance with the IAEA investigation,” Arms Control Association expert Kelsey Davenport told AFP.
“Nor does it lay out the reciprocal sanctions relief for each nuclear step taken by Iran,” she said, adding however that the “critical importance” of Thursday’s understanding “cannot be understated”.
According to Vaez, the most important “wildcard” is US lawmakers who believe the concessions made constitute a humiliating climbdown that will not do enough to stop Iran getting the bomb.
Republican pressure could make it hard for Obama to lift US sanctions while mooted new legislation they want to bring could impose further measures and force the president to get lawmakers’ approval for the deal.