BRUSSELS, Reuters, May 16, 2017 – Britain may have to wait – and hope – for every single one of its European Union neighbors to give full legislative consent before it can fully benefit from any post-Brexit free trade deal, EU judges ruled on Tuesday.
In a verdict that may also delay and potentially obstruct a string of other EU trade pacts, the European Court of Justice (ECJ) said an agreement struck with Singapore in 2014 cannot take full effect until ratified by 33 national and regional parliaments across the 28-nation bloc. Graphic: tmsnrt.rs/2pzabB4
The European Commission, which runs trade policy for the EU, had hoped Brussels – where national governments also have a say – might be free to implement deals without having to consult assemblies, such as that of Wallonia in Belgium that nearly wrecked an accord with Canada last year.
The EU’s last major trade deal to enter force, with South Korea, took five years to be ratified.
The Commission sought the ruling and said it clarified divisions between EU and national powers.
London wants a trade agreement to keep much of its current access to Europe’s single market once it quits the EU in March 2019. But Brussels negotiators have warned such deals can take a decade or more from start to finish.
Any trade pact with Britain would need to be signed off in Brussels by all 27 EU governments after Brexit, but the ECJ ruling implies that, depending on the deal, national parliaments would also get a veto. So would federal Belgium’s five regional assemblies, among them Wallonia and German-speaking East Belgium (population 77,000).
“If the UK wants to sign a swift trade deal with the EU, it may have to get every one of the EU’s national governments to agree if the deal falls within their powers. This is no easy task,” said Laurens Ankersmit, trade lawyer at environmental activists ClientEarth.
Not so fast – EU court ensures 32 vetoes on Brexit trade. European Union flags flutter outside the EU Commission headquarters in Brussels
THE DISPUTE SETTLEMENT PROBLEM
Nicole Kar, head of international trade at law firm Linklaters, described the ECJ case as the most significant on EU trade policy for 20 years and said it would have “huge ramifications” for a future UK-EU deal.
Britain, she said, would need to decide if it wanted a more modest agreement likely to be backed or the most comprehensive deal possible that risked falling hostage to member states.
The ECJ said large parts of the Singapore deal fell within the centralized powers of the Union. However, a key element that went beyond was its creation of a judicial mechanism to settle disputes between businesses and governments.
The court said that, by removing disputes from the jurisdiction of domestic courts, this required national consent.
uch supranational legal powers have been at the heart of opposition in Europe to recent free trade deals, including the last-ditch move by Wallonia’s left-wing leaders to halt the EU’s CETA pact with Canada last year. EU officials want to ease concerns that such powers favor big multinationals by ensuring future deals more clearly protect states’ rights to regulate.
British Prime Minister Theresa May has also made rejecting EU regulation and non-British courts, like the ECJ in Luxembourg, priorities for Brexit.
That means negotiations on a UK-EU trade deal could be fraught when it comes to agreeing who supervises and regulates business.
The Singapore treaty was among the first EU agreements to go beyond mutual reduction of customs duties on goods to include investments, public procurement and environmental regulation, and is seen by many as a model of future global trade deals.
Brussels hopes to seal trade agreements soon with Japan, Mexico and the Mercosur quartet of Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay. It was in negotiations with the United States on a pact known as TTIP, though those talks are on hold since Donald Trump became president this year.
